基于序列运算理论的维修备件保障决策模型-控制理论与应用.PDF

25 6 Vol. 25 No. 6 2008 12 Control Theory Applications Dec. 2008 :2008 , , (1. 203, 710065; 2. , 710038) : , . , , , ; , . : ; ; ; ; : V37,O221 : A The decision-making model of spare parts support based on sequence operation theory WANG Mei-yi , DUANMU Jing-shun , HE Xin-hong (1. Section of PLA Representation in 203 Research Institute, Xi’an Shaanxi 710065, China; 2. The Engineering Institute, Air Force Engineering University, Xi’an Shaanxi 710038, China) Abstract: The supporting process of spare parts is associated with a number of uncertainties which make the decision- making difficult. Based on the probabilistic sequence of sequence operation theory, we treat the quantity of demand, provision and storage of spare parts as a one-dimensional discrete random variable. The interaction between random variables in the support process of spare parts is analyzed through the addition-type-convolution(ATC), subtraction-type- convolution(STC) and the and-type-production(ATP), providing a dynamic description of the supporting process of spare parts. The demand-rate for spare parts is determined based on the expectation theory of probabilistic sequences, by which the time and amount of the inventory are forecasted in the decision-making. Key words: spare parts; support; maintainable; random variable; sequence operation theory 1 (Introduction) 2 (Sequence operation theory) , 2.1 (Conception of sequence) , ,