基于阈值的案例决策方法及其在创新设计中的应用-控制与决策.PDFVIP

第25 卷 第10 期 控 制 与 决 策 2010 年 10 月 Vol. 25 No. 10 Control and Decision Oct. 2010 文章编号: 1001-0920 (2010) 10-1562-05 基于阈值的案例决策方法及其在创新设计中的应用 王 清, 赵 勇, 饶从军 (华中科技大学系统工程研究所，武汉430074) 摘 要: 通过分析案例决策(CBDT) 的经验理性, 提出了可用于创新设计的案例决策方法. 首先分析偏好反转的内在 机理, 指出CBDT 中的案例对决策结果存在的潜在影响; 然后提出一种判别无关案例和启发性案例的方法以及基于 阈值的案例决策方法; 最后通过摩托车发动机的产品创新设计的应用案例, 说明了所提出方法的决策步骤. 该方法与 案例推理(CBR) 方法相比, 对于创新设计具有更好的实用价值和现实意义. 关键词: 案例决策方法；经验理性；启发性案例；创新设计 中图分类号: TP18 文献标识码: A Case-based decision method based on threshold and its application in innovative design WANG Qing, ZHAO Yong, RAO Cong-jun (Institute of Systems Engineering，Huazhong University of Science and Technology ，Wuhan 430074 ，China. Correspondent ：WANG Qing ，E-mail ：wangqing 99@) Abstract: The empirical rational of case-based decision theory(CBDT) is analyzed and a case-based decision method which can be used in innovative design is proposed. Firstly, the intrinsic motivation of preference reversing is analyzed and the potential impact to decision results of cases in CBDT is indicated. Then a method of differentiating the irrespective cases and the heuristic cases is proposed with the case-based decision method based on threshold. Finally, through the application example of motorcycle engine innovative design, the decision-making steps of the method are illustrated. The method has better utility value and practical effect than case-based reasoning(CBR) method. Key words ：：：Case-based decision method ；Empirical rational ；Heuristic cases ；Innovative design 1 引引引 言言言 [2] 项实践活动 . 目前大多学者主要从宏观上研究产品 [1]