全球气候变暖成因分析-自然灾害学报.PDF

14 5 Vo.l 14, No. 5 2005 10 JOURNAL OF NATURAL D ISASTERS O ct. , 2005 : 2005) 李国琛 (, 510070) : 3, 4, ( ), 1 , , CO , 2 , , CO O , 2 2 , (), ( ) , , CO 2 : ; ; : P42 : A Cau se analy sis global clim ate warm ing LIGuochen ( Guangdong ProvincialA cadem y of Sciences, Guangzhou 510070, China) Abs tract: The solar radiation, atmospheric circulation and earth surface cond ition are the three fundamental ele ments thatw ou ld cause clmi atew arm ing. There is forth elemen,t including hum an activity, solar activity and volca no activity. Elements that cause globalw arm ing including natural and human activity, but themain one is the lat ter. Since the IndustrialR evolution at the end of 1 th century, the industrialization and urbanization in the w orld have developed qu ickly, wh ich caused continuous increase of greenhouse gas, such as CO , and much of the 2 forest is cut or destroyed, the forest land coverage is decreased continuously, the forest function for balancing the CO and O isw eakened. This lead to more stronger greenhouse effect, and the continuous h igher temperature. 2 2 A s to the solar activity, the effect on global clmi atew arm ing ismore period ical than continuous. A t the stronger pe