交通规划-交通模式分割课件.ppt

谭志加 Office #616 zjatan@mail.hust.edu.cn;The 4-Step Model;;Transportation Planning;Transportation Planning;Transportation Planning;Transportation Planning;Transportation Planning;Transportation Planning;Transportation Planning;Continuous vs. Discrete Goods;Continuous vs. Discrete Goods;Discrete Choice Framework;A Simple Example;If U(train)U(bus)- train Probability(train)=1 If U(train)U(bus)- bus Probability(train)=0;Imperfect information;Random Utility Model;Binary choice;Binary Logit (Logistic Probability Unit);Transportation Planning;Transportation Planning;Simplest case;;Limiting cases;How about the general case? ;Assume that there are two alternatives for Hankou and Wuchang, i.e. Car and Train. Based on survey and calibration, the utility function for the two alternatives are given by;1. Applying logit model to determine the number of passengers using Train QTrain and the car volume between Hankou and Wuchang QCar (assume car occupancy is 1, i.e. one passenger par car).;2. Determine the car volume suppose, due to traffic congestion, the travel time by car will depends on the car volume on the bridges, given by;3. Change the toll charge for car (Toll), so that the car volume is reduced to;Transportation Planning;Red/Blue Bus Example;Hierarchical Choice Structure;Arunotayanun, K., 2010. Taste heterogeneity and market segmentation in freight shippers’ mode choice behaviour. Transportation Research Part E (in press).;Example Suppose the dis-utility of the customers demanding the package delivery service between a specific OD pair is captured using service fare and time cost where parameter is called value-of-time and follows the following cumulative distribution;Depicting the suppliers in the market;Discussions (1) Which supplier will survive in this market? Why? (2) How does the suppliers act to attract more demand? (3) How to calculate the market share for a certain supplier? (4) How to capture individual customer’s perceived error?;;(2) How does the