transient probabilities for a simple birth-death-immigration process under the influence of total catastrophes为一个简单的birth-death-immigration过程瞬态概率的影响下总灾难.pdf

IJMMS 25:10 (2001) 689–692 PII. S0161171201005762 © Hindawi Publishing Corp. TRANSIENT PROBABILITIES FOR A SIMPLE BIRTH-DEATH-IMMIGRATION PROCESS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF TOTAL CATASTROPHES RANDALL J. SWIFT (Received 27 August 2000) Abstract. The transient probabilities for a simple birth-death-immigration process are considered. Catastrophes occur at a constant rate, and when they occur, reduce the pop- ulation t osize zero. 2000 Mathematics Subject Classification. Primary 60J80. 1. Introduction. In this note, a simple birth-death-immigration process is consid- ered, which is influenced by total catastrophes which, when they occur, reduce the population size t ozero. Population processes under the influence of various types of catastrophes have been studied by Bartoszynski et al. [2], Brockwell et al. [3], and Kyriakidis [4, 5]. The process is formulated by letting N(t) represent the size of the population at time t and P n (t) = P N(t) = n |N(0) = 0 . (1.1) As in the simple birth-death process, births and deaths occur proportional t othe population size with a birth rate λ 0 and a death rate µ 0. Immigration will occur independent of population size with rate α 0. Further, the occurrence of a catastro- phe is als oindependent of population size and will occur at a rate γ 0. Thus, the process can be described by the following transition rates: Transition Rate i → i + 1 λi + α (i ≥ 0) i → i − 1 µi,