short-term load forecasting using soft computing techniques短期负荷预测使用软计算技术.pdfVIP

Int. J. Communications, Network and System Sciences, 2010, 3, 273-279 doi:10.4236/ijcns.2010.33035 Published Online March 2010 (http://www.SciRP.org/journal/ijcns/). Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Soft Computing Techniques 1 1 2 D. K. Chaturvedi , Sinha Anand Premdayal , Ashish Chandiok 1 Department of Electrical Engineering , D. E . I ., Deemed University , Agra, India 2Department . of Electronics and Communication, B. M . A . S., Engineering College, Agra, India Email : dkc_foe@ Received November 10, 2009; revised December 18, 2009; accepted January 21, 2010 Abstract Electric load forecasting is essential for developing a power supply strategy to improve the reliability of the ac power line data network and provide optimal load scheduling for developing countries where the demand is increased with high growth rate. In this paper, a short-term load forecasting realized by a generalized neu- ron–wavelet method is proposed. The proposed method consists of wavelet transform and soft computing technique. The wavelet transform splits up load time series into coarse and detail components to be the fea- tures for soft computing techniques using Generalized Neurons Network (GNN). The soft computing tech- niques forecast each component separately. The modified GNN performs better than the traditional GNN. At the end all forecasted components is summed up to produce final forecasting load. Keywords: Wavelet Transform, Short Term Load Forecasting, Soft Computing Techniques 1. Introduction forecasting using GNN with wavelet for accurate