stability analysis of stochastic ricker population model随机草垛人口模型的稳定性分析.pdf

STABILITY ANALYSIS OF STOCHASTIC RICKER POPULATION MODEL NATALI HRITONENKO, ALEXANDRA RODKINA, AND YURI YATSENKO Received 10 October 2005; Accepted 19 December 2005 A stochastic generalization of the Ricker discrete population model is studied under the assumption that noise impacts the population reproduction rate. The obtained results demonstrate that the demographic-type stochastic noise increases the risk of the pop- ulation extinction. In particular, the paper establishes conditions on the noise intensity under which the population will extinct even if the corresponding population with no noise survives. Copyright © 2006 Natali Hritonenko et al. This is an open access article distributed un- der the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distri- bution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. 1. Introduction The stability of stochastic difference equations has been investigated in numerous papers (see, e.g., [8, 13– 19]). In this paper a martingale-based technique [13] is applied to a stochastic version of the well-known Ricker population model [12]: x = ae−bxn x , n = 0,1,2, ... . (1.1) n+1 n The Ricker model ( 1.1) provides a classic description of an isolated single-species pop- ulation in the inhibiting environment, which only produces offspring at a specific time each year. It is very popular in biological literature because of its remarkable dynamics and good correspondence with various experimental data (especially, for fish popula- tions) [4, 11]. As shown in [6], a nonlinear integral population model with distributed delay and intra-species competition can be reduced to model (1.1) in the case of a single- time seasonal reproduction. It is well known that when the parameter a increases from 0, the qualitative behavior of model ( 1.1) changes from