青藏高原气候变化对湖泊水量平衡的影响-中国科学院青藏高原研究所.PDFVIP

青藏高原气候变化 对湖泊水量平衡的影响 阳 坤，类延斌 中国科学院青藏高原研究所 “青藏高原降水遥感与水循环”专题研讨会 暨“青藏专项模型发展”课题讨论会 2014年11月6 日 Outline Ø  Observed decadal change of climate, glaciers, and lakes on the Tibetan Plateau Ø  Observed evidence for lake water balance changes Ø  Simulated lake water balance changes Ø  Future perspective 2 Key references Ø  描述了高原水循环变化的空间格局 Ø  Yang, K., B. Ye, D. Zhou, B. Wu, T. Foken, J. Qin, and Z. Zhou, 2011: Response of hydrological cycle to recent climate changes in the Tibetan Plateau, Clim. Change, 109(3-4), 517-534 Ø  应用水量平衡模型，显示高原中部湖泊扩张主要是降水 径流增加所致 Ø  Lei, Y., T. Yao, B. Bird, K. Yang, J. Zhai, and Y. Sheng, 2013: Coherent lake growth on the central Tibetan Plateau since the 1970s: Characterization and attribution, J. Hydrol., 483, 61-67 Ø  分析了高原主要湖泊的变化，从大尺度环流作初步解释 Ø  Lei, Y., K. Yang, B. Wang, Y. Sheng, B.W. Bird, G. Zhang, and L. Tian, 2014: Response of inland lake dynamics over the Tibetan Plateau to climate change, Clim. Change, 125(2), 281-290 Ø  对能量和水循环变化的总结 Ø  Yang, K., H. Wu, J. Qin, C. Lin, W. Tang, and Y. Chen, 2014: Recent climate changes over the Tibetan Plateau and their impacts on energy and water cycle: A review, Global Planet. Change, 112, 79-91 3 Climate change over the TP 温度上升 比湿增加 风速减弱 辐射减弱 Tibetan Plateau has been experiencing a rapid climate change: warming, moistening, wind stilling and solar dimming (Yang et al. 2014, GPC) Observed glacier mass balance (Yao et al. 2012, Nat Clim Change)