dengue fever occurrence and vector detection by larval survey, ovitrap and mosquitrap a space-time clusters analysis登革热发生和向量由幼虫调查检测,ovitrap mosquitrap时空集群分析.pdfVIP

Dengue Fever Occurrence and Vector Detection by Larval Survey, Ovitrap and MosquiTRAP: A Space-Time Clusters Analysis 1 2 ´ 1 Diogo Portella Ornelas de Melo *, Luciano Rios Scherrer , Alvaro Eduardo Eiras ´ ˆ ´ ˆ 1 Lab. Ecologia Quımica de Insetos Vetores, Departamento de Parasitologia, Instituto de Ciencias Biologicas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais. Av. Presidente Antonio ´ ˆ Carlos, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil, 2 Departamento de Estatıstica, Instituto de Ciencias Exatas, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil Abstract The use of vector surveillance tools for preventing dengue disease requires fine assessment of risk, in order to improve vector control activities. Nevertheless, the thresholds between vector detection and dengue fever occurrence are currently not well established. In Belo Horizonte (Minas Gerais, Brazil), dengue has been endemic for several years. From January 2007 to June 2008, the dengue vector Aedes (Stegomyia) aegypti was monitored by ovitrap, the sticky-trap MosquiTRAPTM and larval surveys in an study area in Belo Horizonte. Using a space-time scan for clusters detection implemented in SaTScan software, the vector presence recorded by the different monitoring methods was evaluated. Clusters of vectors and dengue fever were detected. It was verified that ovitrap and MosquiTRAP vector detection methods predicted dengue occurrence better than larval survey, both spatially and temporally. MosquiTRAP and ovitrap presented similar results of space-time intersections to dengue fever