on the analysis of the risk of investment projects（在分析投资项目的风险）.docVIP

On the Analysis of the risk of investment projects [Abstract] Monte Carlo risk analysis model is an important means, often used in construction investment projects, through computer simulation techniques can be drawn from project investment risk and return distribution project, and then produce in line with the rate of return and risk distribution rate of random numbers to simulate the kinds of situations, and thus able to project the risk of investment projects are more close to the actual forecast. [Keywords] risk analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, investment decisions 1 Overview