Analysis of the bonds using statistical methods appropriate scale（分析使用统计方法适当规模的债券）.doc

Analysis of the bonds using statistical methods appropriate scale Paper Network: Abstract: The state in the modern economy plays an important role, macroeconomic stability in China played a major role in this paper, statistical methods in depth the issue of China’s economy has a very important practical significance. Keywords: debt; factor analysis; regression analysis, the so-called bond, is to the state’s financial commitment as a precondition for debt service, by way of loans or the issuance of securities and other credit to the community to raise funds behavior treasury function in the modern economy can be summarized in four aspects: fiscal deficits; raise funds for construction; macroeconomic regulation and control; open market operations in recent years a large number of issuing treasury bonds to boost demand and stimulate economic growth and macroeconomic stability in China played a significant role. then the amount of our debt issuance in the end is how much is appropriate to study the issue of China’s economy has a very important practical significance. For convenience, select the following major factors: GNP, urban and rural savings, fiscal deficits, bond debt service, capital expenditure. In order to understand these factors and the impact of treasury bonds of relationship, the use of multivariate statistical analysis of factors method for the determination of various factors on the impact of treasury bonds (see Table 1). Factor analysis: the macro economy from the perspective of six selected indicators were the amount of treasury bonds for the y-, X1-GNP, X2-urban and rural savings, X3-deficit, X4-bond debt service, X5-fixed assets investment price index, X6-5 capital construction expenditures, the original data in the above table. In the first factor in, X1, X2, X4 three indicators have a greater load, which are described from the perspective of bond debt credit situation, so called debt credit factor; ‘as the second fact