原创力文档real-time epidemic monitoring and forecasting of h1n1-2009 using influenza-like illness from general practice and family doctor clinics in singapore实时的疫情监测和预测h1n1流感样疾病- 2009使用的惯例在新加坡和家庭医生诊所.pdfVIP
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real-time epidemic monitoring and forecasting of h1n1-2009 using influenza-like illness from general practice and family doctor clinics in singapore实时的疫情监测和预测h1n1流感样疾病- 2009使用的惯例在新加坡和家庭医生诊所
Real-Time Epidemic Monitoring and Forecasting of
H1N1-2009 Using Influenza-Like Illness from General
Practice and Family Doctor Clinics in Singapore
1 1,2,3 4 4 3,5,6
Jimmy Boon Som Ong , Mark I-Cheng Chen , Alex R. Cook *, Huey Chyi Lee , Vernon J. Lee ,
7 8 8,9
Raymond Tzer Pin Lin , Paul Ananth Tambyah , Lee Gan Goh
1 Department of Clinical Epidemiology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore, Singapore, 2 Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore, 3 Department of
Epidemiology and Public Health, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore, 4 Department of Statistics and Applied Probability, National University of
Singapore, Singapore, Singapore, 5 Biodefence Centre, Ministry of Defence, Singapore, Singapore, 6 National Centre for Epidemiology Population Health, Australian
National University, Canberra, Australia, 7 National Public Health Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Singapore, Singapore, 8 Department of Medicine, National University
Hospital, Singapore, Singapore, 9 College of Family Physicians, Singapore, Singapore
Abstract
Background: Reporting of influenza-like illness (ILI) from general practice/family doctor (GPFD) clinics is an accurate
indicator of real-time epidemic activity and requires little effort to set up, making it suitable for developing countries
currently experiencing the influenza A (H1N1 -2009) pandemic or preparing for subsequent epidemic waves.
Methodology/Principal Findings: We established a network of GPFDs in Singapore. Participating GPFDs submitted returns
via facsimile
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