predicting the psychological response of the american people to oil depletion and declining energy return on investment (eroi)预测美国人民的心理反应石油枯竭和能源投资回报率下降(eroi).pdfVIP

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predicting the psychological response of the american people to oil depletion and declining energy return on investment (eroi)预测美国人民的心理反应石油枯竭和能源投资回报率下降(eroi).pdf

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predicting the psychological response of the american people to oil depletion and declining energy return on investment (eroi)预测美国人民的心理反应石油枯竭和能源投资回报率下降(eroi)

Sustainability 2011, 3, 2129-2156; doi:10.3390/su3112129 OPEN ACCESS sustainability ISSN 2071-1050 /journal/sustainability Article Predicting the Psychological Response of the American People to Oil Depletion and Declining Energy Return on Investment (EROI) Jessica G. Lambert* and Gail P. Lambert Next Generation Energy Initiative, Inc., 32 First Street, Marcellus, NY 13108, USA; E-Mail: GLambert.NGEI@ * Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: JLambert.NGEI@; Tel.: +1-315-278-7954; Fax: +1-315-804-6555. Received: 29 June 2011; in revised form: 1 August 2011 / Accepted: 5 August 2011 / Published: 7 November 2011 Abstract: Oil has played a crucial role in the United States’ continued but increasingly tenuous economic prosperity. The continued availability of cheap, high energy return on investment (EROI) oil, however, is increasingly in doubt. If cheap oil is increasingly constrained, how might that impact the American psychological sense of personal and national well-being? We employ general systems theory and certain key paradigms from psychology and sociology to predict the possible societal response to global peak oil and the declining EROI of whatever oil is produced. Based on these frameworks, the following three defense mechanisms seem likely to be employed by individuals and groups within society if and when confronted with stresses associated with declining oil availability. These are: denial