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remote sensing and modeling of cyclone monica near peak intensity遥感和建模的气旋莫妮卡接近峰值强度
Atmosphere 2010, 1, 15-33; doi:10.3390/atmos1010015
OPEN ACCESS
atmosphere
ISSN 2073-4433
/journal/atmosphere
Article
Remote Sensing and Modeling of Cyclone Monica near Peak
Intensity
Stephen L. Durden
Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91109, USA;
E-Mail: sdurden@; Tel.: 818-354-4719; Fax: 818-393-6440
Received: 31 May 2010; in revised form: 29 June 2010 / Accepted: 30 June 2010 /
Published: 12 July 2010
Abstract: Cyclone Monica was an intense Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone of 2006.
Although no in situ measurements of Monica’s inner core were made, microwave, infrared,
and visible satellite instruments observed Monica before and during peak intensity through
landfall on Australia’s northern coast. The author analyzes remote sensing measurements
in detail to investigate Monica’s intensity. While Dvorak analysis of its imagery argues
that it was of extreme intensity, infrared and microwave soundings indicate a somewhat
lower intensity, especially as it neared landfall. The author also describes several
numerical model runs that were made to investigate the maximum possible intensity for the
observed environmental conditions; these simulations also suggest a lower intensity than
estimates from Dvorak analysis alone. Based on the evidence from the various
measurements and modeling, the estimated range for the minimum sea level pressure at
peak intensity is 900 to 920 hPa. T
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