原创力文档spatial and temporal responses to an emissions trading scheme covering agriculture and forestry simulation results from new zealand空间和时间响应一个排放交易计划涵盖农业和林业仿真结果从新西兰.pdfVIP
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spatial and temporal responses to an emissions trading scheme covering agriculture and forestry simulation results from new zealand空间和时间响应一个排放交易计划涵盖农业和林业仿真结果从新西兰
Forests 2012, 3, 1133-1156; doi:10.3390/f3041133
OPEN ACCESS
forests
ISSN 1999-4907
/journal/forests
Article
Spatial and Temporal Responses to an Emissions Trading
Scheme Covering Agriculture and Forestry: Simulation Results
from New Zealand
Suzi Kerr 1, Simon Anastasiadis 1, Alex Olssen 1, William Power 2, Levente Timar 1,2,* and
3
Wei Zhang
1 Motu Economic and Public Policy Research, PO Box 24390, Wellington 6142, New Zealand;
E-Mails: suzi.kerr@.nz (S.K.); simon.anastasiadis@.nz (S.A.);
alex.olssen@ (A.O.)
2 GNS Science, PO Box 30368, Lower Hutt 5040, New Zealand; E-Mail: w.power@gns.cri.nz
3 Ministry for Primary Industries, PO Box 2526, Wellington 6140, New Zealand;
E-Mail: wei.zhang@t.nz
* Author to whom correspondence should be addressed; E-Mail: levente.timar@.nz;
Tel.: +64-4-939-4250; Fax: +64-4-939-4251.
Received: 3 August 2012; in revised form: 30 November 2012 / Accepted: 4 December 2012 /
Published: 18 December 2012
Abstract: We perform simulations using the integrated Land Use in Rural New Zealand
(LURNZ) model to analyze the effect of various New Zealand emissions trading scheme
(ETS) scenarios on land use, emissions and output in a temporally and spatially explicit
manner. We compare the impact of afforestation to the impact of other land-use change on
net greenhouse gas emissions and evaluate the importance of the forestry component of the
ETS relative to the agricultural component. We find that the effect of including agriculture
in the ETS is small relative to the effect of including forest
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