500hPa距场的EOF显著性及遥相关分析.pdfVIP

, Journal of AnhuiA gri. Sc.i 2011, 39( 4) : 2028- 2032, 2074 黄小燕 李岩 500 hPa EOF 1 2 1 田晨 , 刘瑾 , 陈超 ( 1. , 210044; 2. , 054500) 利用空间自由度估计和自然正交展开( EOF)显著性检验方法对 1948~ 2005年北 球冬季 1月份和夏季7月份的 500 hPa位势高 度场进行分析, 并用前 10 个特征值与相对应的 EOF进行显著性检验结果表明, 1月份, 前 8 个EOF 比较显著, 而 7月份则是前 9 个 EOF比较显著对冬夏季前 4 个EOF 及相应的时间系数的年际变化分析表明, 北 球冬季 1月份 500 hPa高度距平场高空流场中存在 太平洋北美型( PNA)太平洋西部型(WP)大西洋东部型(EA)欧亚西部型( EU) 等遥相关型; 夏季 7月份存在西大西洋型(WA)欧亚 型(EU)西太平洋型(W P)极地东西遥相关型( PEW )东亚太平洋型( EAP)北美东西遥相关型(NAEW )等遥相关型遥相关型的年 际变化都非常明显, 从时间系数序列可以看出, 1948~ 2005年PNA型在冬季十分明显, 在 1977年前大部分年都是正相关, 1977年后是负 相关而夏季则是EAP型比较明显, 1978年是正负相关的分界点, 夏季PNA 型不出现 500 hPa; 空间自由度; EOF显著性检验; 遥相关 P434 A 0517- 6611( 2011) 04- 02028- 05 The Estimates of SpatialD egrees of Freedom and EOF SignificantAnalysis of 500 hPa Potential HeightAnomaly F ield TIAN Chen et al ( N anjing Uni ersity of Inform ation Science Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210044) A stract The 500 hPa height field in January in w inter and July in summer in the north hem isphere from 1948 to 2005w as analyzed in this pa per by dint of the estmi ates of spatial degrees of freedom and EOF sign ificant exam ination method. A nd using the first ten eigen alue and corre sponding EOF, significance testwas carried out. R esults suggested that in January, the first eight EOF were relati ely outstanding, wh ile in July, the first n ine EOF were quite significant. Analysis about the first four EOF in w inter and summ er and the annual ariation of corresponding temporal coefficient suggested that the500 hPa height anomaly height fluid in January in the northern hem ispherehad different types of teleconnection such as PNA, W P, EA and EU etc. WA, EU, W P, PEW, EAP and NAEW ex isted in July. The annual ar iation of teleconnection was ery ob ious. Seen from temporal coefficient sequence, the PNA was outstanding in w inter from 1948 to 2005, ofwh ich inm ost years before 1977w as positi e co