利用brp模型预测电影票房（Using BRP model to predict movie box office）.docVIP

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利用brp模型预测电影票房（Using BRP model to predict movie box office）.doc

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利用brp模型预测电影票房（Using BRP model to predict movie box office）

利用brp模型预测电影票房（Using BRP model to predict movie box office） Using BRP model to predict movie box office abstract Through the use of neural network and regression model, this paper studies the movie box office, and determines the six major factors that decide the box office. And tells and demonstrates that predicting movie box office is a crucial step in deciding how to invest in a movie. Through the development of the movie box office forecasting technology and the domestic film box office mechanism, this paper analyzes the film box office forecast research topic. First, the film box office forecast development profile (1) western film box office research; The box office of American movies began in the last century in 80s by Lee Terman (B. R. Litman) in 1989 1981 to 1986 697 films aired in the United States as the research sample, through multiple regression analysis, established the prediction model of film. Li Terman film rental income as the measure of the movie box office film influence the dependent variable, the economic success of arguments are divided into three parts: creative, release / release time and movie marketing. A film type, creative part of the variables of the American Film Institute (MPAA) film classification, familiar with the story, producer, star, director, production cost, etc. the main reference film, American magazine TV Guide to determine which type of movie (TV Guide). The independent variables in the release / release section include the publisher, the date of issue, the issue model, the market power, etc., and the independent variables in the film marketing have the marketing ability of the issuing company and whether they have won the prize or not. 1 Li Termans box office research model for the later provides the basic ideas and methods of film and film forecast economic success prediction study. The R. Sharda and D. Delen in the United States used neural network technology in the 2005 study to create a new box office forecasting model