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我国煤制油产业分析(Analysis of coal oil industry in China)
我国煤制油产业分析(Analysis of coal oil industry in China)
I. prospects of coal oil market
With the increase of dependence on foreign oil, the development of coal oil industry from the perspective of energy security and long-term resource acquisition is of strategic importance to china. The growth of Chinas oil demand rapidly in the past 10 years, but the oil reserves limit oil production in China lead to slow growth in Chinas dependence on foreign oil continues to increase, in 1995, Chinas dependence on foreign oil is only 7.6%, to 2000, Chinas dependence on foreign oil rose to 31%, 2010 the first half of Chinas dependence on foreign oil has been as high as 55.14%, according to the forecast, in 2020 Chinas dependence on foreign oil will reach 60%. Therefore, our country urgently needs to find new energy or petroleum substitutes that can ease the pressure of Chinas oil imports, and according to the actual situation of Chinas more coal and less oil, the development of coal oil industry has a good prospect.
On the other hand, the future of Chinas coal production capacity is facing overcapacity, the 11th Five-Year period of investment in the coal industry can use the big three, three high to sum up, through the development mode of large base, large groups and large integration, formed a high investment, high growth, Gao Kai situation, the development of the coal industry coal economic operation situation appears onrush, volume and price increases, in 2010 nearly ten million tons of new large coal project is designed annual production capacity of 147 million 800 thousand tons, the production capacity of coal an average increase of about 2 tons, according to the 2003 coal production to 2 tons per year growth rate, 2015 the total has reached the limit, with an annual output of 38 tons (planning, long-term development of coal in 2020 reached 38 tons) of the output of the ceiling obviously will easily break. Looked from another angle of view, our country coal production big province
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