太阳活动影响气候的放大过程之时空选择性-中国气象局图书馆.pdfVIP

创刊5周年纪念专辑 Progress 研究进展 太阳活动影响气候的放大过程之时空选择性 1 1, 2 肖子牛 霍文娟 （1 中国科学院大气物理研究所，大气科学和地球流体力学数值模拟国家重点实验室，北京 100029； 2 中国科学院大学，北京 100049） 摘要：太阳是形成地球气候的原始驱动力之一，但太阳活动变化对气候的影响究竟有多大，其机制和途径是什么，是否 存在放大效应，一直是有争议的一个问题。结合国家重大科学研究计划“天文与地球运动因子对气候变化的影响研究” 一些研究进展，综合归纳了太阳活动变化对气候系统一些关键环节的影响和作用，阐述了气候系统对太阳活动的响应具 有显著的时空选择性。指出太阳活动通过季风活动通道，可能将太阳活动对极区和西太平洋热带对流区的影响放大，并 最终影响全球气候。 关键词：太阳活动，气候，时空选择性 DOI：10.3969/j.issn.2095-1973.2016.03.019 Influences of Solar Activity on Climate: the Spatio- temporal Selectivity of the Amplification Process 1 1, 2 Xiao Ziniu , Huo Wenjuan (1 State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 2 University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049) Abstract: Solar is one of the original driving forces for the earth climate formation, however, how much influence does the solar activity on the earth climate? What are the mechanisms and modes involved in the progresses? And the amplification effect proposed by predecessors is still on debate. Based on the advances in the national basic research program of China that “a study of impacts of astronomical and earthly motility factors on climate change”, this paper provides an overview of the influence and effect of solar variability on some critical components of climate system. The spatio-temporal selectivity in the climate system responses to solar activity forcing is described. We point out that the solar activity effect on polar region and convective region over tropical Pacific Ocean can be amplified by the m