基于供应商后备决策不可靠供应链订货合同设计.docVIP

基于供应商后备决策不可靠供应链订货合同设计 　　王文利1，2 （1.上海交通大学中美物流研究院，上海200030； 2.太原科技大学经济与管理学院，太原030024） 摘要：将传统的买方企业求助于后备供应的模式扩展到供应商自身求助于后备供应的模式，研究买方企业通过设计订货合同迫使供应商在发生中断时求助于后备供应的问题。运用动态规划建立了供应商和买方企业两阶段博弈的订货和生产决策模型，研究了买方企业的订货合同设计方法，分析了供应商怎样组织生产以及选择购买后备产品还是支付缺货罚金的决策问题。得到了面对不可靠供应商时的最优订货合同，并发现当单位产品收益大于后备产品的单位购买成本时，无论供应可靠性高低，买方企业都应向供应商提出等于市场需求量的订货量；否则，最优订货量随单位缺货罚金递减，甚至低于需求。 关键词：供应风险；后备产品；合同设计；可靠性 中图分类号：F274；F224 文献标识码：A 文章编号：1001-8409（2013）11-0071-05 Ordering Contracts Designing for Unreliable Supply Chains Based on Suppliers’ Backup Decisions LI Bin1， JI Jianhua1， WANG Wenli1， 2 （1. SinoUS Global Logistics Institute， Shanghai Jiao Tong University， Shanghai 200030； 2. School of Economics and Management， Taiyuan University of Science and Technology， Taiyuan 030024） Abstract： The traditional mode in which the buying firm resorts to backup supply is extended to the mode in which the supplier resorts to backup supply. The problem how to design contracts to force the supplier to turn to backup supply is studied. Dynamic programming is used to establish ordering and production decision models of the suppliers and the buying firm’s twostage game. Both the ordering contracts designing of the buying firm， and the production organization and the selection between buying backup productions and paying penalty of the supplier， are analyzed. Besides the optimal ordering contracts， some other conclusions are found， that when the profits an unit pproduct brings to the buying firm is larger than an unit cost of backup product， regardless of the supplier’s reliability high or low， the buying firm should order from the supplier with a quantity equal to the demand； when it is not larger， the optimal order quantity is decreasing with the unit penalty of shortage， even less than the demand. Key words： supply risks； backup products； contracts designing； reliability 1 引言 现实生产中存在这样一种情况，由于买方企业对于所需产品的其他供应商信息缺失，或者供应商本身与其他同种产品供应商有战略合作的关系，当最终产量不能满足订单时，可能是供应商而非买方企业求助于后备产品供应商。这是一种非常有效