租赁需求活跃且供应充足-colliersinternational.pdfVIP

Colliers Quarterly SHANGHAI | BUSINESS PARK 上海 | 商务园区 Q3 2017 30 October 2017 Active demand 租赁需求活跃且供 amidst heavy 应充足 supply Amanda Guan Analyst | Shanghai 官冉冉 分析师 | 上海 Shanghai’s business park market was strong in the 第三季度，上海商务园区办公物业市场需求活跃，由近 third quarter, reflected in the fast absorption at new 来若干季度内落成项目的快速吸纳可见一斑。季内，八 projects completed in recent quarters. Eight new 个新项目的入市使得全市平均空置率上升至 16.2%。平均 projects were completed during the quarter, pushing up the city’s vacancy rate to 16.2%. The 租金表现强劲，新项目高于市场平均水平的租金带动租 average rent remained buoyant, and new projects 金上涨至人民币4.17 （0.63 美元）每天每平方米。投资 achieved rents above the market average of RMB 物业市场活跃，一宗整售交易于季内完成。展望未来， 4.17 (US0.63) psm per day. The investment market 高力国际预期近若干季度内入市的项目需求将较为强 was active, with one en-bloc sales transaction 劲，受专业的物管及具备更高建筑规格的物业所支撑， closed. Looking forward, Colliers expects the demand will remain strong at projects completed in 租金或将继续增长。 recent quarters, and rents will continue to increase with improved infrastructure and building specifications. Forecast at a glance 预测一览表 Demand 需求 Leasing demand is robust and new metro 租赁需求强劲，地铁线路开通将刺激沿线物 lines will be a boon to some properties, 业的需求，尤以张江及金桥物业为甚。此利 particularly in Zhanjiang and Jinqiao. This should stimulate demand over the year 好因素或将持续推动2018 到2020 年及之后 2018 to 2020 and onwards. 的需求。 Supply 供应 We expect three projects to be completed 2017 年第四季度，高力国际预测约21 万平 in Q4 2017, adding a total GFA of 210,000