基于CA的城市形态扩展多解模拟-文献信息中心-中国科学院生态环境.PDFVIP

20 1 Vol 20, No.1 2007 2 URBAN ENV RONMENT U RBAN ECOLOGY Feb.　2007 5 CA ———以北京市东部平原区情景分析为例 欧金明, 王如松, 阳文锐, 李　锋 (城市和区域生态国家重点实验室, 中国科学院生态环境研究中心, 北京 100085 ) 　　:CA 。 , 3 50 , 。 2024 , 、、3 3 , 3 , 。 :;;; :X22　　:A 　　:(K)07088 ( 1002-1264)(2007)01-0005-04 Alternative Future of Urban Form Growing Simulation Basing on CA Model ———The Scenario Analysis of Eastern Plain Area in Bei ing OU Jing-ming,WANG Ru-song, YANG Wen-rui, L Feng (State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085,China) Abstract:n this article, based on the artificial-neural-network, the constrained CA model of Beijing urban expansion was built.By using this model, the urban form of the east plain of Beijing was forecasted in the next 50 years in three sce- narios as a basis for the analytical comparison of different forms of urban growth.Then, using the simulative urban form of the east plain of Beijing in 2024 as a criterion, three different land use patterns were analyzed from three aspects-nat- ural, social and economic ecological benefits.The systematic comparison of complex ecological benefit of three land use patterns provided firmy support to the urban land use decision-making . Key words:cellular automata;　artificial neural network;　urban form;　complex ecology 　　, [1～3] 。 、、、。 CA 、、、、、 , CA , 。, [1, 2] 。 , , 。 , , 。CA , 。, , , , 。 。, CA , CA 1　CA