世界奶业发展现状及2018预测.pdfVIP

15.11.2017 The Status of Global Dairy Economy and the Prospects in 2018 Results of the IFCN Research Work 2016/17, 15.11.2017 Torsten Hemme IFCN Dairy Research Network Torsten.Hemme@ifcndairy.org 15/11/2017 © IFCN 2017 | 1 Outline 1. Milk price IFCN 2. Dairy farming costs 3. Outlook 2018 4. Summary 15/11/2017 © IFCN 2017 | 2 1 15.11.2017 World milk price are very volatile- 复杂多变的全球奶价 IFCN Combined World Milk Price; IFCN 全球奶价合并指数 n i e t o r p % 3 . 3 t a f % 4 M C E g k 0 0 1 / D S U Monthly data 2006 - 2017 15/11/2017 © IFCN 2017 | 3 Key driver: Milk surplus deficit by regions 主要的驱动力：区域内牛奶的过量与缺乏 ME = milk equivalents 牛奶当量 15/11/2017 ME = Milk equivalents, based on fat and protein only © IFCN 2017 | 4 2 15.11.2017 IFCN - The Dairy Research Network Mission: We create a better understanding of the dairy world by providing comparable data, knowledge and inspiration. The IFCN Network approach – c