Stablenew新增供应稳定；需.PDFVIP

Colliers Quarterly Q3 2017 8 November 2017 SHENZHEN | OFFICE 深圳 | 写字楼 Stable new 新增供应稳定；需 supply, robust and 求旺盛且多元化 diverse demand Kirsten Geng Assistant manager | South 耿毓坤 副经理 | 华南 China Underpinned by firm Chinese economic growth, 受国内稳健的经济增长的支撑，深圳甲级写字楼物业市场 Shenzhen’s Grade A office property market 第三季度租赁需求十分活跃。除了传统强势行业如金融和 witnessed robust demand not only from finance 科技，来自汽车、制造业、房地产和专业服务等行业租赁 and technology, but also from automobile, 需求也表现突出。季内平均租金受罗湖稀缺新增供应的影 manufacturing, and professional services. We saw 响环比攀升了2.6 个百分点，而由于未来将有持续大量新 rent increase by 2.6% QOQ rent during Q3 2017 due 增供应入市，尤其是南山和前海，我们预测空置率将于 to scarce new supply in Luohu. While considering the heavy new supply in the next three years, 2019 年攀升至29%。考虑到新增供应的高品质，我们预计 especially Nanshan and Qianhai, we predict the 2018 年租金会稳中有升，而到2019 年或有细微调整。 vacancy rate should rise to 29% by 2019. We also expect high quality new supply may push up the rent in 2018, followed by slight adjustment in 2019. Forecast at a glance 预测一览表 Demand 需求 Leasing demand is solid supported by firm 受稳健的经济增长支撑，租赁需求表现活 economic growth. Tenants appeared to be 跃；本季度租户表现呈多元化，分散化；租 more diverse, with backgrounds in 户不再集中于金融和科技，而来自专业服 professional services, automobile, 务，汽车，制造等多个行业。 manufacturing, etc. Supply 供应 We expect nine new projects with 0.49 合计可租赁建筑面积约有49 万平方米的9 个 million sq metres of rental space to be 项目预计集中于2017 年最后一个季度交付。 deliver