物流与区域经济增长—来自中国级空间面板数据的证据.pdfVIP

Economic Management Journal 物流与区域经济增长 —来自中国省级空间面板数据的证据 蔡之兵，周俭初 江苏省委党校经济学教研部，江苏 南京 210013 摘 要：在研究物流产业发展与区域经济增长关系时，与传统的经济增长模型有所不同的是我们在构建相关模型必须注意到区域 之间的空间联系。运用空间面板计量模型，利用 C-D 生产函数，通过构建区域物流产业发展与区域经济增长的经济模型来研究 1988—2009 年中国省级经济增长和物流的空间相关关系。研究结果发现：中国省份的经济增长和物流产业发展之间存在着显著 的空间相关性，邻近省份物流产业每提高1 个百分点，会使本省份的GDP 提高大约0.15 个百分点，最后根据空间计量模型结果 给出相关政策建议。 关键词：物流；经济增长；中国；空间计量；面板数据 Logistics and Regional Economic Growth-Evidence from the Space Econometric Panel Data from China * Zhibing Cai , Jianchu Zhou The economic department of Jiangsu Party school, Nanjing, China, 210013 Email: czbcqx@163.com Abstract: Unlike the traditional economic growth model, spatial contact must be noted when we construct relative models in the study of the relationship between logistics industry development and regional economic. With the use of space panel econometric model and CD production function, by constructing a regional logistics industry development and regional economic growth economic model, the study of the economic growth of Chinese provinces and the logistics industry during 1988-2009 is carried out. The results show that there are significant spatial correlation between Chinese provinces economic growth and development of the logistics industry. 1 percent increase in the neighboring provinces logistics industry will make the provinces GDP increase about 0.15 percent. Finally, according to estimations, some relevant policy recommendations are given. Key words: Logis