5.3-数模案例-普瑞特农场.docxVIP

5.3a)The decisions to be made are how much acreage should be planted in each of the crops and how many cows and hens to have for the coming year. The constraints on these decisions are amount of labor hours available, the investment funds available, the number of acres available, the space available in the barn and chicken house, the minimum requirements for feed to be planted. The overall measure of performance is monetary worth, which is to be maximized.b c)This model predicts that the family’s monetary worth at the end of the coming year will be $99, 367.d)The allowable range for the value per acre planted of soybeans is 61.6 to ∞.The allowable range for the value per acre planted of corn is –∞ to 68.4.The allowable range for the value per acre planted of wheat is –∞ to 57.15.e)DroughtIn a drought, the model predicts (under the optimal solution) that the family’s monetary worth at the end of the year will be $67,864.FloodIn a flood, the model predicts (under the optimal solution) that the family’s monetary worth at the end of the year will be $74,055.Early FrostIn an early frost, the model predicts (under the optimal solution) that the family’s monetary worth at the end of the year will be $88,767.Drought and Early FrostIn a drought and early frost, the model predicts (under the optimal solution) that the family’s monetary worth at the end of the year will be $66,649.Flood and Early FrostIn a flood and early frost, the model predicts (under the optimal solution) that the family’s monetary worth at the end of the year will be $69,860.f)Family’s monetary worth at year’s end if the scenario is actually:Opt. Sol. UsedGoodDroughtFloodEarly FrostDroughtEFFloodEFGood Weather$99,367$57,117$70,417$88,767$53,717$67,367Drought$76,348$67,864$70,668$74,174$66,321$69,581Flood$94,962$57,929$74,055$85,175$54,482$69,162Early Frost$99,367$57,117$70,417$88,767$53,717$67,367Drought E.F.$75,009$67,859$70,329$73,169$66,649$69,409Flood E.F.$80,476$67,676$71,483$77,230$64,990$69,86