1026美媒预测 中印2030年跻身全球海军五强之一.docVIP

美媒预测 中印203年跻身全球海军五强No.5参考消息2016/6/28美媒预测 中印203年跻身全球海军五强※美国《国家利益》双月刊：The 5 Most Powerful Navies of 2030Kyle Mizokami June 25, 2016※参考消息译文：【美国《国家利益》双月刊网站6月25日文章】题：2013※相关汉语：美媒评2030年全球最强五大海军 中国规模最大来源： 互联网?作者： 风华?发布时间：2016-06-28 Will America still be number one? What about China? Or India？ Kyle Mizokami June 25, 2016 The most powerful navies in 2030 will be a reflection of the broader state of the world. Some countries are invested in preserving the current international order, and see naval power as a means to maintain it. Other emerging countries are building navies commensurate with their newfound sense of status, often with an eye towards challenging that order. The eastward shift in naval power will continue in 2030, a product of both declining defense budgets in Europe and growing economies in Asia. While the most powerful navies of the Cold War were concentrated largely in Europe, by 2030 both China and India will be on the list, with Japan and South Korea as runners-up also fielding large, modern naval forces. Ship-wise, there are two classes that will define the most powerful navies: aircraft carriers and ballistic missile submarines. Aircraft carriers reflect the need to maintain a global, or even regional, power-projection capability. Ballistic-missile submarines reflect a maturation and diversification of a country’s nuclear arsenal, with an eye toward maintaining a second-strike capability in case of surprise attack. More than any other type, those two will define naval power in the early-to-mid twenty-first century. The United States The United States, the dominant naval power worldwide in 1945, will continue to dominate the seas eighty-five years later. By 2030 the Navy will be halfway through its thirty-year shipbuilding plan and have built three Gerald R. Ford–class aircraft carriers to begin replacing existing Nimitz-class carriers. Amphibious ship numbers should be slightly higher than current numbers, and the first ship in class to replace the?Ohio?b