在役混凝土桥梁结构耐久性随机抽样评估方法.docx

在役混凝土桥梁结构耐久性随机抽样评估方法朱平华1 , 金伟良2(1 . 扬州科技学院 土木工程系 ,江苏扬州 225009 2 . 浙江大学 结构工程研究所 ,浙江杭州 310027)摘要 :评估费用与精度的关系是评价在役混凝土桥梁结构耐久性评估是否满足要求的关键所在 。以在役混凝土桥梁结构耐久性三层次多指标评估模型为基础 ,研究了分层随机抽样理论在耐久性评估中的应用问题 。探讨了评估费用 、 评估精度与样本量之间的关系 ,给出了总样本量及其在各层的最优分配计算公式 ,以及等级评分值的置信区间 。同时 分析比较了最优分配与比例分配和指定分配法的优劣 。实际工程应用表明 :基于最优分配的分层随机抽样法 ,能够在 评估费用与评估精度之间取得较满意的结果 。对于精度要求不高的工程 ,可采用比例分配或指定分配 。关键词 :在役混凝土桥梁 ;耐久性评估 ;分层随机抽样 ;最优分配 ;置信区间中图分类号 : U4481 33 U442 . 1 文献标识码 : AEval uatio n fo r du r a bilit y of e xi sti ng co nc ret e b ri dgest r uct u re s2la ye re d r a ndo m sa mp li ngZ H U Pi ngh ua1 , J IN Weilia ng2(1 . Dep art ment of Civil Engineering , Ya ngzho u Instit ut e of Technolo gy , Yangzho u 225009 , China ;2 . Instit ute of St r uct ural Engineeri ng , Zhejia ng U niver sit y , Ha ngzho u 310027 , Chi na)Abstract : The relatio n ship of co st a nd p reci sio n i s cr ucial fo r app rai si ng w het he r t he re sult fo r m eval uatio n fo rdura bilit y of e xi sti ng co ncret e st r uct ure s meet s t he eval uati ng requi r me nt s. Ba sed o n t he t hree2level2 multi2 i nde x eval uati ng mo del fo r dura bilit y of e xi sti ng co ncret e st r uct ure s , t he app licatio n of ra ndo m la ye re d sa mp li ng t heo r y to dura bilit y eval uatio n i s st udied i n t hi s p ap er . The relatio n ship of eval uati ng co st , eval uati ng p reci sio n a nd eval uati ng sa mp le size i s di sc u sse d a nd t he calc ulati ng fo r mula fo r sa mp le size a nd it s op ti mum di st ri b utio n a mo ng diff e re nt layer s i s p re se nt ed. A t sa me ti me , t he credi ble i nt er val fo r cla ss of me mber ship of bri dge st r uct ure s i s give n . Furt he r mo re , t he c ha rt2f lo w fo r eval uati ng dura bilit y i s su mma rized . The re sult of app licatio n to act ual p roject sho w s t he la ye red ra ndo m sa mp li ng met ho d o n t he ba si s of op ti mu m di st ri b utio n a mo ng diff e re nt layer s ca n ac hieve co