基于熵权的道路交通状态模糊综合评判模型.docVIP

基于熵权的道路交通状态模糊综合评判模型 谭振超 成卫 许世春 昆明理工大学交通工程学院 云南商务信息工程学校 X 关注成功！ 加关注后您将方便地在 我的关注中得到本文献的被引频次变化的通知！ 新浪微博 腾讯微博 人人网 开心网 豆瓣网 网易微博 摘????要： 为了客观、有效地判别城市道路交通状态, 在考虑敏感性、准确性及获取难度的基础上, 从交叉口和路段2个角度, 分别选取车辆平均延误、平均最大排队长度、平均行程速度及时间占有率4个交通参数作为评判指标, 并将信息论中的熵值理论应用于道路交通状态综合评判中, 建立基于熵权的道路交通状态模糊综合评判模型。该模型利用信息熵度量数据本身所提供的有效信息量来计算评判指标的权重系数, 并运用加权平均法输出模型最终的状态判别结果。VISSIM仿真结果表明:基于熵权的道路交通状态模糊综合评判模型能够较好地判别道路交通状态, 其评判结果比层次分析法的更趋于实际情况, 结果相对客观可信。 关键词： 交通工程; 交通状态判别; 熵权法; 隶属度函数; 模糊综合评判; 作者简介：谭振超 (1992-) , 男, 昆明理工大学硕士生。 收稿日期：2017-05-31 基金：国家自然科学基金项目 A fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of road traffic state based on entropy weight TAN Zhen-chao CHENG Wei XU Shi-chun School of Traffic Engineering, Kunming University of Science and Technology; Yunnan Business Information Engineering College; Abstract： In order to objectively and effectively assess urban road traffic state, on the basis of considering sensitivity, accuracy and availability, the four traffic parameters:average vehicle delay and average maximum queue length, average travel speed and time occupancy, are taken as the evaluation indexes from the angles of crossroads and roads.And the entropy theory in information theory is applied to comprehensive evaluation of road traffic conditions in order to set up the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of road traffic state based on entropy weight.This model makes use of the effective information provided by the data about information entropy to calculate the weight coefficients of the evaluation indexes, and utilizes the models final state derived from weighted average method to assess the results.The VISSIM simulation shows that the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of road traffic state based on entropy weight can distinguish road traffic state, the evaluation results of which are closer to the reality than the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) , and the result is relatively objective and credible. Keyword： traffic engineering; traffic state recognition; entropy weig