渔业生存率和死亡率评估.ppt

As a fish stock becomes more heavily exploited, large fish are removed from the stock and, the recruitment is not affected, smaller ones are continually added to the exploitable part of the population. * * Virtual Population Analysis use the numbers of fish to estimate historical fishing mortality and stock numbers. * Virtual Population Analysis use the numbers of fish to estimate historical fishing mortality and stock numbers. * In computer program, if Nt fish are present at the start of time period t, and M is the natural mortality per year, there will be this number half-way through the year, just before the catch is ‘removed’. * In computer program, if Nt fish are present at the start of time period t, and M is the natural mortality per year, there will be this number half-way through the year, just before the catch is ‘removed’. * F=Z*exp[a]/(N0(1-exp[-Zt])) To calculate fishing mortality * Wetherall plots A modified version of the Beverton Holt Z-formula suggests that values 0f can be plotted against a series points, L’, as a straight line: As before, is the mean length of all fish. Is the lower limits for the length intervals of fully vulnerable fish. Wetherall plots Wetherall plots The mean length, , above the lower limit of the length interval is estimated as Σ(F*L)/n, where L is the mid-point of the length interval . and n is the number of fish above L’. Wetherall plots Wetherall plots Wetherall plots From the regression line, the value of Z/K is estimated from the slope , b, as: Z/K=-(1+b)/b=-(1-0.265)/(-0.265)=2.8 L ∝ may be estimated from the intercept , a, with the X-axis as: L ∝=-a/b=-63.49/-0.265 As the value of the growth coefficient was estimated as K=1.2 from modal progression analysis, then: Z=2.8*1.2=3.4 Virtual Population Analysis the number of fish surviving from one