强化灾害性即时天气预报FineInformationofFormosaWeatherII.PDFVIP

強化災害性即時天氣預報 Fine Information of Formosa Weather II 主管單位：交通部 計畫編號： 103-1502-02-05-02 鄭明典 呂國臣 Ming-Dean Cheng Kuo-Chen Lu 中央氣象局預報中心 摘要 為發展本土化之強降雨監測及預測技術，建置符合全國各鄉鎮尺度災害性天 氣預報的作業需求之預報指引為目標，因此本計畫 針對「強化鄉鎮尺度災害性及 即時預報技術」及「強對流偵測輔助系統」方面進行重點研發，期望廣泛應用於 日常即時劇烈天氣之監測及預警。除了增加即時觀測資料供作業監控及預警劇烈 天氣外，亦可提升國內作業針對劇烈天氣之相關研究，進行開發本土化之預報技 術，並藉由發表科學論文的方式，提升臺灣於相關技術之領導地位，同時對學術 領域及作業應用均有正面助益。 關鍵詞 : 災害性天氣、即時天氣預報 、鄉鎮預報 。 Abstract For the development of the localization of the heavy rainfall monitoring and forecasting techniques, this project is to build in the forecast guidance to meet the forecast needs on the Mesoscale Severe weather forecast in villages and towns of the country. The target of the plan for the strengthening of the township-scale disasters and real-time forecasting techniques and the strong convective detect supporting systems, are focusing on research and development, the expectations widely used in day-to-day real-time severe weather monitoring and early warning. This project not only increase in the real-time observation data for monitoring and early warning of severe weather, but also enhance domestic operation for severe weather forecasting techniques. By way of published scientific papers, enhance Taiwans leadership in related technologies status of academic fields and improve operational applications have positive benefits. Keywords : Hazard weather; weather nowcasting; township weather forecast. 1 一、前言 臺灣常遭受颱風、豪雨、乾旱和寒潮等天氣災害的影響，因氣象災變所造成的 經濟損失影響層面愈來愈廣，影響的程度亦愈來愈深，務必持續強化災害天氣預報 或預警技術，以有效減輕災害損失。 本計畫以3 年時間，發展本土化之強降雨監測 及預測技