(复杂系统的性能评价与优化课件资料）Probability_Fundamentals.pptVIP

Copyright by Yu-Chi Ho Probability Fundamentals What’s the memoryless triangle? (i) The inter-arrival time distribution of the customers is exponential P(T?t+t0 | Tt0)=1-e-lt=P(T?t)??p(t)=le-lt P(at least one arrival in the next t seconds | no arrival in t0 seconds) = 1-P(no arrival in t seconds) = P(at least one arrival in t seconds). Memoryless triangle (2) (ii) the probability of a single arrival in time Dt is equal to lDt+o(Dt), where l is the constant arrival rate, and the arrivals are independent. Memoryless triangle (3) The probability of n arrivals in the interval [0,t] obeys the Pois