基于最小成本法的我国农业生产要素产出弹性的估算精选.pdf

Statistical and Application 统计学与应用, 2015, 4, 1-8 Published Online March 2015 in Hans. /journal/sa /10.12677/sa.2015.41001 Estimating Output Elasticities of Agricultural Production Factors in China Based on the Least Cost Method 1 2 Yu Guan , Min Ghen 1 Department of Statistics, Zhejiang A F University, Hangzhou Zhejiang 2 Zhejiang Survey Organization, National Bureau of Statistics, Hangzhou Zhejiang Email: guanyu@ th st th Received: Feb. 6 , 2015; accepted: Feb. 21 , 2015; published: Feb. 28 , 2015 Copyright © 2015 by authors and Hans Publishers Inc. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution International License (CC BY). /licenses/by/4.0/ Abstract Based on market hypothesis of the minimum cost method, using historical production cost benefit survey data and related literature, combined the weighted average of farming, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery, this paper estimates that the current output elasticities of the investment proportion of the agricultural production material consumption (capital), labor and land are about 0.55, 0.3 and 0.15 respectively. It overcomes un-robustness of the popular regression op- timize method. In addition, the contribution rates of scientific and technological progress on the farming, forestry, animal husbandry, fishery and mega-agriculture are measured. Keywords Agriculture, Products Factor, Output Elasticity, Least Cost Method 基于最小成本法的我国农业生产要素 产出弹性的估算 1 2 管 宇 ，陈 敏 1浙江农林大学统计系，浙江 杭州 2 国家统计局浙江调查总队，浙江 杭州 1 基于最小成本法的我国农业生产要素产出