在可持续发展框架下.pdf

在可持续发展框架下 应对全球气候变化 Addressing global climate change in the context of sustainable development 何建坤 He Jian-Kun 22-06-2007 主要内容 Contents 一、我国在气候变化领域面临的挑战 Challenges from climate change faced by China. 二、全球应对气候变化国际合作的制度建设 International collaborative schemes for climate change 三、我国应对气候变化的战略和对策 China’s strategic responses for climate change 一、我国在气候变化领域面临的挑战 Challenges from climate change faced by China 1、我国生态环境脆弱，气候变化的负面影响严重而且不断加剧， 适应气候变化已成为现实和紧迫的任务 The negative impacts of climate change on China’s vulnerable environment has been increasing and adaptation to climate change become a reality as well as an urgent task 农业生产不稳定性增加； Instability of agriculture production growth. 极端气象灾害事件频率和强度增大； Frequency and intensity of extreme weather disaster increase. 降水变化波动大，水资源供需矛盾加剧； Fluctuation of precipitation increased, and imbalance of water supply and demand enhanced. 重大工程安全运行风险加大； Operation risks of a key and large projects increased. 自然生态、公众健康、沿海脆弱带等负面影响加大。 Negative impacts on ecosystem, public health, vulnerable coastal area increased. 2、我国CO 排放总量大、增长快，在减缓温室气体排放方面面临严峻形势 2 The volume of CO2 emission is huge and the growth has been fast in China, posing challenges for mitigation. 我国CO 排放总量2004年占世界总量的 2 我国1950年的CO 排放量仅为世 2 17.8%，2010年前就可能超过美国，成为世 界第一排放大国。 界总排放量的1.3% ；1950~2002 China’s