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John Mearsheimer, Why China’s Rise Will Not Be Peaceful
Can China Rise Peacefully
John Mearsheimer
September 17, 2004
Why China’s Rise Will Not Be Peaceful
The question at hand is simple and profound: can China rise peacefully? My answer is
no. If China continues its impressive economic growth over the next few decades, the
United States and China are likely to engage in an intense security competition with
considerable potential for war. Most of China’s neighbors, to include India, Japan,
Singapore, South Korea, Russia, and Vietnam, will join with the United States to contain
China’s power.
To predict the future in
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