Safety Evaluation of Discontinuing Late Night Flash Operations…停止夜间闪光操作的安全评估.pdfVIP

1 1 Paper 13-0988 2 3 Safety Evaluation of Discontinuing Late Night Flash Operations at 4 Signalized Intersections 5 6 7 Bo Lan 8 Post-doctoral Research Associate, 9 Highway Safety Research Center, 10 University of North Carolina (CB# 3430), 11 730 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd, 12 Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3430 13 Phone: 919-962-0465 14 Fax: 919-962-8710 15 Email: lan@ 16 17 Raghavan Srinivasan 18 Senior Transportation Research Engineer, 19 Highway Safety Research Center, 20 University of North Carolina (CB# 3430), 21 730 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd, 22 Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3430 23 Phone: 919-962-7418 24 Fax: 919-962-8710 25 Email: srini@ 26 27 28 Number of Words: 5467 29 Number of Tables: 8 30 Total number of words: 5463 + 8*250 = 7467 31 32 Submitted for Presentation at the 2013 TRB Annual Meeting 33 34 November 15, 2012 35 TRB 2013 Annual Meeting Paper revised from original submittal. 2 1 ABSTRACT 2 This study examined the safety impacts of converting late nighttime flash (LNF) to normal 3 phasing operation at signalized intersections using the empirical Bayes (EB), the univariate Full 4 Bayesian (FB), and multivariate FB before-after methods. Data were obtained from the North 5 Carolina Department of Transportation for 61 treatment sites and 395 reference intersections that 6 remained on LNF operation from 2000 to 2007. 7 The results from the EB method are almost identical to those of the univariate FB. The 8 FB method offered m