[经济学]Chapter1-DMD.ppt

* * * Quantitative analysis: computed price indicators (GDP deflator) NGDP(亿) R(%) RGDP DGDP(%) 1986 10275.2 8.8 9813.629 4.7 1987 12058.6 11.6 11465.38 5.2 MBA课程 数据分析技术和方法 * D-GDP Nominal GDP Real GDP N-GDP R-GDP Comparison between GDP deflator and CPI MBA课程 数据分析技术和方法 * Check the official data is accurate? Identities : GDP=C+I+(X-M) Extension of the problem: what kind of transmission mechanism between the price deviation? Why entrepreneurs and peoples perceptions differ? --How to interpret the deviation from the upstream price to downstream prices? Why the stock market is not a barometer of the economy? --How to interpret the deviation between CPI and asset prices? MBA课程 数据分析技术和方法 * Problem is far more than those ... ... What are the causes of inflation? What kind of impact on the lives of the people produced by economic growth and inflation? What is the National Strategy? Our own methods? --Stock market fund --Gold --Real estate --Insurance – Bank products MBA课程 数据分析技术和方法 * Case summary-the data analysis techniques and methods Observe phenomena Propose questions Theoretical basis Certificate and analysis Policy conclusions MBA课程 数据分析技术和方法 * Survey methods Analysis technique Analysis software Mindmanager EXCEL lindgo EVIEWS Paper Course requirements Understand the importance and main methods of data analysis methods, Be familiar with econometric techniques, data analysis methods based on linear programming and linear regression. Master some analysis software. Apply data analysis methods to practical problems and the relevant analysis. Examination requirements Discussion （30%） Homework （ 30%） Paper （40%） MBA课程 数据分析技术和方法 * Survey (25 mins) MBA课程 数据分析技术和方法 * * * * Broader view * * Prime minister * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * * Preview Next Main Return Business Preview Next Main Return Business Preview Next Main Return Business Preview Next Main Return