dynamic safety assessment of natural gas stations using bayesian network：（自然的动态安全评估加油站使用贝叶斯网络）.pdfVIP

Journal of Hazardous Materials 321 (2017) 830–840 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Hazardous Materials j o u r n a l h o me p a g e : w w w. elsev /locate/jha z mat Dynamic safety assessment of natural gas stations using Bayesian network Esmaeil Zarei a , Ali Azadeh b , Nima Khakzad c , Mostafa Mirzaei Aliabadi a , Iraj Mohammadfam a,∗ a Center of Excellence for Occupational Health Engineering, Research Centerfor Health Sciences, Faculty of Health, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran b School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Center of Excellence for Intelligent-Based Experimental Mechanic, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, Iran c Safety and Security Science Section, Delft University of Technology, Delft, The Netherlands h i g h l i g h t s g r a p h i c a l a b s t r a c t • A dynamic and comprehensive QRA Dynamic cause-consequence analysis of the regulator system failure using BN. (DCQRA) framework is proposed for safety assessment of CGSs. • Bow-tie diagram and Bayesian net- work are employed for accident scenario modeling. • Critical basic events and minimal cut sets are identified using probability updating. a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t Article history: Pipelines are one of the most popular and effective ways of transporting hazardous materials, espe- Received 26 July 2016 cially natural gas. However, the rapid development of gas pipelines and stations in urban areas Received in revised fo