现代燃煤电厂公众支持度影响因素及政府引导研究――以平江火电厂.PDF

An empirical study of influencing factors for public support for modern coal-fired power plants, Using the Pingjiang plant project as an example LYU TAO taocumt@cumt.edu.cn Institute of Energy Economics and Management, China University of Mining and Technology Outline 1 Backgrounds 2 Literature Review 3 Conceptual Model and Hypotheses 4 Data Collection and Reliability 5 Hypothesis Test and Results 6 Conclusions 1 Backgrounds • Coal is the major source for power generation, especially for developing countries. Over the past two decades, non-fossil power generation has risen considerably, but the share of electricity from coal has been increasing (Fig. 1). • China is the largest coal producer and consumer in the world, using about 50% of that coal for power generation, which comprises more than 75% of the total domestic power generation(Fig. 2). Fig.1 The percentage of coal-fired power and non-fossil power Fig.2 the share of coal-generated power in China 1 Backgrounds • Furthermore, with HELE (High-Efficiency,Low-Emissions) technologies, coal can be used cleanly in the modern coal-fired power plants. • For example, some ultra-supercritical(USC) units can reach efficiency of 45%, and carbon dioxide emissions per kilowatt hour can reduce to 740 grams (Table 1). Table1 CO2 intensity factors and fuel consumption values Source: Technology Roadmap: High-Efficiency, Low-Emissions Coal-Fired Power Generation, IEA The events against coal-fired plant projects in China • Due to the traditional impression of high pollution and high emissions, the events against coal-fired power plant projects occurred repeatedly in China, such as Pingjiang pow