高性能计算与海洋环流模式-清华大学地球系统科学系.pdfVIP

高性能计算与海洋环流模式 黄小猛 清华大学地球系统科学研究中心 hxm@tsinghua.edu.cn 13年3 月25 日星期⼀ What is a numerical ocean model？ 13年3 月25 日星期⼀ Historical perspective and the interest in ocean modeling 13年3 月25 日星期⼀ What is the purpose of ocean modeling? • process studies (examples: simple, more complex, realistic) • environmental monitoring, impact studies(examples: how would sea-level rise impact coastal flooding?, how would building a dam impact river plume?, oil spill prediction, etc.) • forecast systems ✦ nowcast/hindcast (study past or present events) ✦ real-time short-term ocean forecast (days-weeks) ✦ long-term prediction (seasonal to future climate) • coupling with other models: ✦ coupled ocean-atmosphere-land models ✦ coupled physical-biological or ecosystem models ✦ couple with oil/pollution spill models 13年3 月25 日星期⼀ Why is this growing interest in numerical ocean modeling and prediction? • Exponential growth in computers’ speed and memory (supercomputers PCs): Moore’s Law: doubling every 2y ✦ Allowing more realistic models with higher resolution • Advances in satellite observations of the global ocean ✦ Allowing data assimilation, evaluation and prediction 13年3 月25 日星期⼀ Ocean v.s. Atmospheric • Note that advances in ocean prediction systems is decades behind atmospheric weather forecasting: ✦ Numerical weather forecasting started in the 1950s (Charney, von Neumann and others) ✦ Ocean forecasting only