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高技术产品出口来自发展中国家:一种技术喷发或者统计错觉外文翻译
高技术产品出口来自发展中国家:一种技术喷发或者统计错觉?外文翻译
High-Tech Exports from Developing Countries:
A Symptom of Technology Spurts or Statistical Illusion?
Martin Srholec
Abstract:Specialization in high-tech products is frequently used to capture technological intensity of exports. A number of developing countries are among the most deeply specialized countries in exports of these products.The paper shows that the bulk of high-tech exports can actually be attributed to the effect of international fragmentation of production in electronics on trade statistics.It is confirmed in an econometric framework that while indigenous technological capabilities are associated with export performance in electronics,it is the propensity to import electronics components that accounts for by far the largest proportion of cross-country differences in specialization in electronics exportsKeywords:High-tech exports;fragmentation;intra-product trade
Introduction
The possibility that specialization in technologically intensive activities matters for economic development is well established in the literature on technological change.It is stressed in the Schumpeterian literature that prospects for productivity growth differ across activities because of differences in technological opportunitiesSchumpeter 1934;Nelson and Winter 1982.Some endogenous growth models highlight the key role of sectors producing knowledge and their linkages in the economy for productivity growth Romer 1990;Grossman and Helpman 1991.The post-Keynesian perspective that specialization in some segments of international demand provides better growth prospects because of higher income elasticity can also be interpreted as reflecting differences in quality and technological intensity Fagerberg 1988;Dalum et al.1999. It is therefore not surprising that specialization in exports of products generally perceived as high technology frequently appears in comparative studies by international organizations,governmental bodies and other institutio
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