Convection and Precipitation in Central and Southern Africa在非洲中部和南部的对流和沉淀.pptVIP

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Convection and Precipitation in Central and Southern Africa在非洲中部和南部的对流和沉淀.ppt

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Convection and Precipitation in Central and Southern Africa在非洲中部和南部的对流和沉淀.ppt

AMMA, Dakar, 1 Dec 2005 Patterns of convection in Africa and opportunities for collaboration Arlene Laing National Center for Atmospheric Research MOTIVATION Prediction of warm season precipitation is encumbered on improving understanding of initiation and evolution of organized convection. Societal need for improved precipitation prediction in Africa. Radar-based studies in US found that organized convective precipitation displays coherence in propagation (Carbone et al 2002) Studies of East Asia, Australia, Europe used IR data to track cold cloud clusters and found similar coherence How similar or different is organized convection in Africa? What can be inferred about prediction of precipitation from the behavior of deep convection? Seasonal distribution of African MCCs Methods Tropical N. Africa: 16 – 30 June 2003 Seasonal Diurnal Distribution Comparing Continents Link with other projects programs African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA) African Contacts Institutions Amadou Gaye, UCAD, Senegal, Co-Chair, AMMA Water Cycle Debo Adeyawa, (Federal University of Technology, Akure, Nigeria) Collaborator with Ed Zipser on studies of TRMM diurnal cycles and convective systems Arona Diedhiou, AGHRYMET, Niger, Co-Chair, PIAF UCAR Institutions(AMMA Water Cycle) SUNY Albany, Chris Thorncroft Howard University, Greg Jenkins U of Oklahoma, Peter Lamb MIT, Fatih Eltahir MIT, Earle Williams U of North Dakota, Paul Kucera SH AFRICA Summer (20S – 35S) Links with other programs Peter Chen, WMO World Weather Watch WMO Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project (SWFDP), with a few National Meteorological Services, regional centers centers that produce global products “challenges we face … is to provide the necessary training to support and sustain the use of certain NWP products that are not being used there, or products that could be better tuned for better performance in this region” Glad to hear of this initiative, sharing info with Dr. Jack Ha