Asymmetric Threat Tracker Advanced Convoy Scenario非对称威胁跟踪先进护航的情况.ppt

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Asymmetric Threat Tracker Advanced Convoy Scenario非对称威胁跟踪先进护航的情况.ppt

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Asymmetric Threat TrackerAdvanced Convoy Scenario Donald E. Brown, PhD James H. Conklin Department of Systems Information Engineering University of Virginia Charlottesville, VA 22904 October 26, 2006 Purpose The purpose of this scenario is to describe the capabilities of the Asymmetric Threat Tracker in the context of operational scenarios. Military Decision Making Process Intelligence Cycle Intelligence Cycle Tasking Collection Processing Exploitation Dissemination Scenario Background The user in this scenario is a Convoy Planner The location is Baghdad, Iraq Threat: US Convoys have been repeatedly attacked en-route. The convoy planner’s role is to plan the convoy such that risk is minimized and security is commensurate with the cargo and within the resources available Convoy Planner’s Information The Convoy Planner has access to the following information: Database of past attacks on US Forces date location time type narrative Maps of region Previous convoy routes Intelligence databases Convoy Origination and Destination Points Convoy Departure Time Planner Objective With this data, the planner needs to Plan the route for the convoy Plan the departure time for the convoy Provide convoy drivers information about high risk areas Provide convoy drivers any possible alternate routes or backup plans Planner Performs Risk Assessment The planner can use the ATT to perform a risk assessment Open ATT Select Area of Interest Select Spatial Features for Analysis Select Temporal Features for Analysis Query Database for past Incidents Enter planned start and end times for convoy Run ATT algorithm to generate threat surface Run ATT change detection to generate a change surface Assess risk of convoy and plan accordingly Next slide shows example ATT analysis Inform convoy drivers of high risk areas and areas where the threat has changed significantly since their last run Planner Analyzes ATT Output Once the ATT has generated a threat surface, the planner can view the surf