Baseline emission projections for the revision of the Gothenburg 在哥德堡的修订基准排放量的预测.pptVIP

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Baseline emission projections for the revision of the Gothenburg 在哥德堡的修订基准排放量的预测.ppt

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Baseline emission projections for the revision of the Gothenburg 在哥德堡的修订基准排放量的预测.ppt

Janusz Cofala and Markus AmannCentre for Integrated Assessment Modelling (CIAM)International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) Application of GAINS model for integrated assessment of air pollution in Europe and in non-European EECCA countries Policy applications of RAINS/GAINS in Europe GAINS/RAINS for air pollution Protocols to the LRTAP Convention: 2nd S Protocol, Gothenburg Protocol and its revision Support to EU policies: CAFE Programme and Thematic Strategy on Air Pollution (TSAP) National Emission Ceilings (NEC) Directive and its revision Air pollution consequences of updated EU energy scenarios GAINS for climate policy analysis Non-CO2 cost curves for Climate and Energy Package (CE) Air pollution effects of carbon capture and storage (CCS) scenarios Co-benefits on air pollution for CE Package Targets from the EU Thematic Strategy on AP Revision of the NEC Directive Revision of the NEC Directive – emissions reduction Loss of life expectancy due to anthropogenic sources of PM2.5, months Forest area with acid deposition above critical loads, % GAINS coverage Emissions and costs modules: All larger countries included Russia: four regions for the European part, for Asian part of Russia available by oblast Calculations can be done on-line Optimization and impact modules implemented for Europe, China and India GHG mitigation efforts calculator available for all Annex I countries Inclusion of EECCA countries Russia, Belarus, Ukraine, Moldova (some) contacts with national experts Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic. No contacts with national teams Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan aggregated to “Other FSU Asia” No contacts with national teams Emission scenarios for EECCA countriesEconomic activities Energy National scenarios supplied by experts from Russia (2002) and Ukraine (2004) Other countries IEA energy statistics, projections based on scaling down of SRES B2 scenario Agriculture FAO statistics and projections Emi