Analytical Approaches to Evaluate Residual Cable Lifetime评估剩余的电缆寿命分析方法.pptVIP

Analytical Approaches to EvaluateResidual Cable Lifetime Module 4 Residual Cable Lifetime Assessment Objective is to conservatively demonstrate that should design bases accident occur at end of life conditions, critical equipment will function properly Demonstration is based on Environmental Qualification program using qualification tests performed on “pre-aged” samples. “Pre-Aging” Environmental Qualification programs must simulate end of life aged components Materials are “pre-aged” before running qualification tests (simulated LOCA tests) Elevated temperature/irradiation burn-in tests used prior to qualification tests to simulate cable conditions at end of life. Example EQ Qualification Test Envelope for US BWR Based on Design Basis LOCA Cable Lifetime Assessments Two predominant failure modes are typically considered: thermal, radiation Arrhenius thermal aging model Radiation aging via linear dose response model. Both need to be considered. Arrhenius Thermal Aging Model From probability theory, mean time to failure is given by: MTTF Arrhenius Thermal Aging Model Probability density function is assumed to be exponential: fτ(t) = 1/ τ exp (-t/ τ ) With time to failure given by Arrhenius law: τ = k(T)-1 = [A exp (-Φ / kT)]-1 Mean time to failure is simply: MTTF = τ = [A exp (-Φ / kT )]-1 k = 0.8617 x 10-4 eV / °K (Boltzmann’s constant) A, Φ = experimentally derived constants Arrhenius Thermal Aging Model Effects of aging in elevated temperature environment can be accelerated based on: MTTF1 = [A exp (-Φ / kT1 )]-1 MTTF2 = [A exp (-Φ / kT2 )]-1 Computing the ratio of times to failure yields: Arrhenius Thermal Aging Model k = 0.8617 x 10-4 eV / °K (Boltzmann’s constant) Φ is an experimentally derived constant that can be obtained from tests of specific materials Φ is more commonly assumed at low value: 0.5eV when specific material test data is not available Lower values of Φ are conservative Unjustified use of larger Φ values can be majo