2013绿色出行_缓解交通拥堵.pptVIP

吴洪洋 副主任、博士后 交通运输部科学研究院 城市交通研究中心 地址：北京市朝阳区惠新里240号，100029 电话：010mail：wuhy82@163.com 女士们、先生们： 上午好！今天非常高兴能与大家交流中国城市交通节能减排的问题， 落脚在城市交通政策与行动，政府决策的力度和事项，开展城市试点，评价指标体系建立。 建议分三个部分，第一部分历史和现状、第二部分是现在的工作、第三部分是未来努力的方向。按照每分钟180个字，4000-5000字准备，第一部分8分钟，第二部分12分钟，第三部分5分钟。所有文件号不出现，PPT尽量简化，明确数字来源，PPT23章左右。5+11+3。 * This first chart details the increasing trends towards urbanization in countries around the world. As you can see from this chart, China has experienced a rapid urbanization in just a decade and a half, (nearly doubling in this time period, from 26.4 to 43.9 ). If you compare china with other countries, the urbanization rate from the 20% occupancy to 40% took a mere 22 years. In contrast, Britain, France, Germany, America, Russia, and Japan, this rate of urbanization took 120, 100, 80, 40, 30, 30 years respectively. If this trend continues in China, we will expect 57% urbanization rate in 2020 and 70% in 2050, which will reach the 2008 level of urbanization in these developed countries……. This chart monitors respective motorization growth among developed and developing nations. If you look to the bottom chart, you will notice each countries increasing rate of motorization growth from 1985-2006. in order to compare these countries with one another, I established the unit of measurement, number of automobile per thousand people. As you can see, the overall number of automobile per thousand people in china is much less than that of developed countries. For example, America, France, Japan. South Korea, however, is an interesting case as it has the highest increasing rate of automobiles per thousand people from 1985 to 2000. in order for China to catch up with these developed nations at current 10.2% growth rates, it will take 27,29,33,and 37years respectively to meet South Korea, Poland, Japan, and America, France,. 2006 Levels. However, we estimate that China’s annual increasing rate will increase and even mimic that of south Korea from 1985 to 2