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红外apc乘客计数精度改进及公交客运量预测模型分析-improvement of infrared apc passenger counting accuracy and analysis of bus passenger volume prediction model.docx

红外apc乘客计数精度改进及公交客运量预测模型分析-improvement of infrared apc passenger counting accuracy and analysis of bus passenger volume prediction model.docx

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红外apc乘客计数精度改进及公交客运量预测模型分析-improvement of infrared apc passenger counting accuracy and analysis of bus passenger volume prediction model

builds up a bus passenger transportation volume mend model based on the property of bus passengers per mile. The prediction model is validated through utilizing production data of a bus corporation in Chongqing city. The result shows that the maximal relative error of route passenger forecast data is under 15% and the average prediction error is half of the one by typical model. The bus passenger transportation volume prediction system completes the functions of transforming from chart into system database automatically, prediction result show and prediction precision show by chart or table.Keywords: infrared APC, GPS, precision improvement, bus passenger transportation volume, passengers per mile目录中文摘要······································································································································ I 英文摘要·····································································································································II 1 绪论 11.1 研究背景·································································································11.1.1 优先发展城市公共交通系统的意义 ···························································11.1.2 城市公交系统信息化的特征及意义 ··························································21.2 本文研究的目的、意义和研究内容 ·······························································31.2.1 研究目的及意义 ··················································································31.2.2 研究内容 ···························································································41.3 论文结构·································································································51.4 本章小结·································································································52 公交客流统计研究现状及相关技术····································································· 62.1 公交客流统计技术的发展 ···········································································62.2 典型公交客流统计技术 ············································

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