技术效率丶技术进步与东亚的经济增长——基于APEC视角的实证分析.doc

技术效率丶技术进步与东亚的经济增长——基于APEC视角的实证分析 技术效率、技术进步与东亚的经济增长 ――基于APEC视角的实证分析 王兵 (颜鹏飞 （暨南大学经济学院 510632） （武汉大学经济与管理学院 430072） 内容提要：本文运用DEA的方法测度了1960-2000年APEC17个国家和地区的技术效率、技术进步及曼奎斯特生产率指数，并且对APEC经济增长的趋同效应进行了实证检验。本文的主要结论是：美国和台湾的技术效率在所有的年份均为1，东亚经济的平均技术效率出现递减，其他APEC国家的平均技术效率则是递增的；但在东亚经济中，技术效率提高的作用要比在其他APEC国家中明显。东亚经济从整体来看，劳动生产率的增长主要由资本积累推动。不同于传统的研究，全要素生产率对新兴工业经济的贡献却达到了29.53%，其中香港和新加坡的全要素生产率贡献则超过了50%。美国几乎每一年均扮演了“创新者”的角色，台湾和印度在许多年份也扮演了“创新者”的角色。在整个样本期存在显著的趋同，资本积累的是趋同最重要的源泉，而全要素生产率则使经济增长发散。 关键词： 技术效率 技术进步 全要素生产率 曼奎斯特生产率指数 趋同 英文标题： Technical Efficiency ,Technical Progress and East-Asian Economic Growth ——Empirical analysis based on APEC’s 6#00aa00view Abstract: This paper measures，applying DEA，the technical efficiency，the technical progress and Malmquist productivity indexes in 17 countries and districts in APEC from 1960 to 2000；It has also testified empirically its convergence effect of economic growth. The major conclusions are as follows: USA and Taiwan have an efficiency score of one in all the years, the mean efficiency levels have decreased in East-Asian countries and increased in other APEC countries, but technical efficiency has a more important role in East-Asian countries. As a whole, the main contributor to labour productivity growth is capital accumulation. Unlike previous studies，we find TFP growth in East Asian NICs contributed 29.53% to its labour productivity growth，a contribution of exceed 50% in Singapore and Hong Kong. USA was the innovator almost every year, both Taiwan and India join USA as the APEC innovators in many years. There was a significant convergence in the levels of labour productivity over the whole period. Capital accumulation was the most source of convergence, TFP was a significant source of divergence. Keywords: Technical Efficiency ；Technical Progress；Total factor productivity；；Malmquist productivity index ；Convergence 一、引言 关于如何认识战后东亚经济的快速增长,国际学术界一直有争论,尤其199