The reliability analysis for main主元可靠分析.pdfVIP

4th International Conference on Sustainable Energy and Environmental Engineering (ICSEEE 2015) The reliability analysis for main fuel accelerated regulation system of aero-engine based on interval model ZHANG Lei-lei1, a, LIU Sheng-zhi2,b , ZHANG Zheng1,c and ZHANG Feng1,d 1Northwestern Polytechnical University, China 2AV IC Landing Gear Advanced Manufacturing Corp,China a163.com, dnwpuwindy@ Keywords: Main fuel accelerated regulation system; Interval theory; Fault tree; Failure probability; Monte Carlo method Abstract: To effectively assess the reliability of aero-engine main fuel accelerated regulation system under poor failure statistics information, a fault tree analysis method based on interval model is presented. Firstly, according to main fuel accelerated regulation system principle and failure mechanism, the system fault tree model is established. Then interval number is introduced to describe the uncertainty of bottom event, and achieve the uncertainty transfer from bottom events to top event through constructing AND/OR gate interval operator. Finally, the failure probability estimation process of system top event is proposed based on double Monte Carlo method, and get the accurate failure interval of system response. At the same time, the importance measurement analysis of bottom events is conducted to identify the key failure events, which provides guidance for the main fuel accelerated regulation system in design and maintenance. Introduction Surge is an unstable working condition under low frequency, high amplitude oscillation of airflow along compression system axial direction. As a special case that aero-engines often encounter during acceleration