第30届奥运会男篮比赛核心致胜因素分析.docVIP

第30届奥运会男篮比赛核心致胜因素分析 　　摘 要：运用Spearman（斯皮尔曼）二列等级相关分析法计算第30届伦敦奥运会男篮比赛名次与技术相关关系，以此相关系数排序较高12项指标比较奥运会比赛强、中、弱3种水平队的差幅，求证获胜各种因素。因而得出，名次与助攻、2分球命中率次数及场均得分、失误、防守篮板有密切的关系。从指标差幅中可知，小组赛中强队胜弱队的一般制胜因素是较强的个人攻击能力、配合能力、防守攻击性和3分球远投能力。复赛中获胜强队的重要制胜因素是防守能力强于对手，进攻中对抗能力强，能更多地造成对方犯规和篮下攻击能力强。强队之间竞技是在3分球命中次数、篮板球、罚球次数和助攻上竞争，其核心制胜因素为稳定的远投技术、超强的个人攻击能力、篮板球的拼抢力和内线得分能力。 　　关 键 词：竞赛与训练；竞技篮球；制胜核心因素；男子篮球；第30届奥运会 　　中图分类号：G841 文献标志码：A 文章编号：1006-7116（2014）01-0110-04 　　An analysis of core factors for winning men’s basketball games played in 　　the 30th Olympic Games 　　GUO Yong-bo，WU Ze-tai 　　（School of Physical Education，South China Normal University，Guangzhou 510006，China） 　　Abstract： The authors applied Spearman’s two column rank correlation analysis method to calculate the correlations between rankings listed for and techniques used in men’s basketball games played in the 30th London Olympic Games， used top 12 indexes arranged in the order of such correlation coefficients to compare the differences between strong， medium and weak teams in order to verify various factors for winning， and therefore drew the following conclusions： rankings were closely related to assists， 2-pointers， average points per game， misses and defensive rebounds； it can be known from index differences that ordinary factors for strong teams to win weak teams in group games were stronger individual offense ability， teamwork ability， defense aggressiveness and 3-point shooting ability； important factors for strong teams to win in elimination games were defense ability stronger than their opponents， stronger contest ability during offense， capability to make their opponents foul more and strong under-basket offense ability； competitions between strong teams were competitions of 3-pointers， rebounds， penalty shots and assists； core factors for strong teams to win were steady long shot technique， super strong individual offense ability， rebound snatching ability and inside scoring ability. 　　Key words： competition and training；